ESPN's Bottom Line - Version 2.0

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Week 7 Predictions


7 Seattle at San Francisco 16 
Peter Carrol's squad thinks they're hot shit right now after beating Tom Brady, Tony Romo and Aaron Rodgers* at home so far this year.  Seattle CB Richard Sherman said after the win over New England that no great ball-club is 3-3, or average.  It's ironic because Sherman goes onto brag about how good Seattle is when they should be 3-3 if it wasn't for the incompetence of high school referree/Bank of America employee/NFL official Lance Easley (his name alone exudes incompetence).  Check out the pic of Sherman smack talking Brady that the CB put on twitter (great caption) U MAD BRO.  Basically, I think Sherman and coach Carroll are way too happy to be 4-2 right now and their destined for a reality-check against a San Francisco D that is 2nd v the pass.  Wilson will throw a pick or 2 and San-Fran will show why they are the class of the NFC West.

21 Tennessee at Buffalo 27
Buffalo is one of the strangest teams in the NFL... in their 3 wins, they have no given up 20 points or more but in their 3 losses, they've given up an average of 48.3 points per game. I predict the good Bills will show up on Sunday against a Titans D coming off a high after defeating Pittsburgh.  The Titans defensive is absolutely dreadful; Fitzpatrick/Spiller will shred it.  Bills win at home.

24 Washington at NY Giants 27
The Giants will take care of business at home against an up and coming Redskins team.  I predict a close one though, a classic down-to-the-last-play NFC East affair but in the end I like Eli to get the job done.

24 New Orleans at Tampa Bay 26
The Saints defense is dreadful  and I see them going no where this season.  Tampa Bay is 2-3 but their point differential is + 18.  They have been losing close games, but I say that trend ends this week as Josh Freeman orchestrates a 4th quarter drive to beat New Orleans.

17 Baltimore at Houston 27
Houston's loss of MLB Brian Cushing for the year is a big blow, but the Ravens loses of CB Ladarius Webb and living-legend MLB Ray Lewis hurt even more.  Lewis is the backbone of the team; his inspirational speeches can make the manliest of men break down in tears.  Watch the Lewish speech that opens Madden 13 Madden Speech or this random speech he gave to players of his alma mata, the U speech to the U.  Dude is the best motivational speaker in the league and the Ravens will struggle defensively without him (especially against Arian Foster who will be hungry after a 29 yd performance v Green Bay).  I also think Baltimore has been winning games they shouldn't be winning (beat NE by 1 bc of bad field goal call, barely scraped by the Browns and Chiefs, beat Dallas last week bc of poor dallas clock management/dez bryant dropped 2 pc).  Houston had 1 bad game; they are still elite and they will win this one.

27 Dallas at Carolina 34
Cam Newton will have 1 week where he goes bizerk (he hasn't eclipsed 350 total yards passing/running) and think it comes off a bye, at home, v a team that can't finish games.  I expect a high scoring affair as Carolina's D is abysmal, but I do not think Romo will finish the job.  I can't see Cam's team dropping to 1-5; I like the Panthers in a close one.

24 Green Bay at St. Louis 10
Rodgers is determined to show the NFL world that the Packers are still elite.  He threw for 6 TD at Houston last week and now he has another challenge against a sneaky-good Rams D (5th best D in terms of total points allowed).  I think Rodgers takes care of business ensuring the Pack do not drop below 500

6 Arizona at Minnesota 31
two unexpected 4-2 teams go head to head.. If Minnesota goes ahead early this game is over as Arizona has no offense.  This will either be a defensive struggle or a Minnesota blowout.  I'm going with the latter.  I also have a policy of going against absolutely atrocious QB on the road (John Skelton) and it worked last week going against Brady Quinn at Tampa Bay.

29 Cleveland at Indianapolis 13
With virtually no threat on the ground (Donald Brown out and Vick Ballard averaging 2.3 yds/carry this year) Indy's attack will be all air against the Browns, who just got back their Pro-Bowl shutdown CB Joe Haden back.  AJ Green torched Haden for 7 catches, 135 yds and 2 scores last week, but this week I think Haden shuts down Reggie Wayne.  Luck will be out of luck this week as Trent Richardson runs all over the Colts paltry run D (29th in rush yards/game)

16 Jacksonville at Oakland 34
The consensus among NFL heads is that Oakland sucks, but they had a positive showing last week off a bye in Atlanta.  Home against Blaine Gabbert's Jags, I foresee a blowout in Oakland.  Oakland will run all over the Jags and once they go up, Gabbert will not be able to bring Jacksonville back due to the fact that he sucks. (29th in passer rating).  The only thing Gabbert has going for him is his sick hairdoo.  He's terrible.

14 NY Jets at New England 17
I really wanted to pick the Jets here but I couldn't.  Brady/Belichick will be pissed after pissing away the game at Seattle.  I do think it will be a low scoring affair as Jets safeties can cover Gronk/Hernandez and Cromartie can shut down Welker.  I predict Brady will struggle but ultimately they will come out with the W, to Rex Ryan's dismay.  What sucks is that the Jets will probably lose a close one leaving hope that Sanchez can still be the franchise QB (he can't)

20 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati 22
Cincy was posied to break out after starting off hot at 3-1 looking forward to cup-cake matchups against the Dolphins at home and Cleveland on the road.  Of course, with the parody in the AFC this year, they lost both of these matchups and are now 2 games behind the Ravents at 3-3.  In fact, only 2 AFC teams are above 500 (BAL and HOU at 5-1) making it difficult to tell who is elite, good, mediocre, bad, awful and god-awful in the AFC.  I'm leaning towards Cincy coming together and becoming a contender and I'm not sold on Pit.  I'll take Cincy with Shaun Suisham missing a possible game-winning FG for Pit

14 Detroit at Chicago 10
In a monday night shocker; I have Stafford and crew taking down the ferocious Bears D.  Jay Cutler is poised for a break-down as people are too high on Da Bears.  I think the Bears D plays another great one, but Cutler has an erratic game ending in a game-changer pick 6.  I also would like to take the over (-12.5) on how many gushy-praising comments Jon Gruden makes on the Chicago pass rush.  Dude called JJ Watt a hall of fame candidate last week in Houston.  Watt is a beast but he is 23...

Last Week: 7-7
Season: 52-39

Chinese word of the day: 饼干 (Bing Gan) definition: cookie
(not to be confused with 丙肝 which translates to Hepatitis C)
source: Kan T. (Kevin) there will be no facebook link as my friend request remains pending

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